Photo: Yukon Aurora Forecast
Nature Tours Yukon Website

Current Aurora Prediction
Current Aurora Prediction Activtiy Level 6
Solar Wind
Velocity:492 km/s
Particle Density:2 protons/cm3
Interplanetary Magnetic Field
Btotal:8 nT
Bz:5 nT South
Current Aurora Prediction
Activity Level:6/10
Updated: May 30 2016 12:15 UTC

Forecast is updated every 15 minutes.
Data is averaged over last 15 minutes.

Current Aurora Forecast

The solar wind velocity is currently low at 492 km/s. While this is certainly not the only indicator for a spectacular aurora display it doesn't help to increase our chances. However, particle density impacting the earth is pretty respectable coming in at 2 protons/cm3. These higher density numbers can help improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.

There is currently a very strong southward pointing Bz value of 5 nT that is cancelling out the protective effects our Earth's magnetic field. The increased southward Bz value forces open a 'door' in our magnetosphere letting energy particles from the solar wind easily penetrate our atmosphere. This is an excellent indicator for the current availability of active aurora.

Aurora Activity Level 6/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently moderate to elevated. Weather permitting, good northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from Dawson City to Watson Lake and Whitehorse.

Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (May 30 to Jun 1): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on May 30 (30 May), quiet to active levels on May 31 (31 May) and quiet levels on Jun 1 (01 Jun).

3-Day Aurora Forecast
Monday (May 30)Tuesday (May 31)Wednesday (Jun 1)
Aurora Forecast - Active: 10% - Minor Storm: 30% - Major Storm: 55%
Active aurora possible with excellent chance of minor auroral substorms and favorable conditions for major aurora activity.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 15% - Minor Storm: 30% - Major Storm: 35%
Active aurora possible with excellent chance of minor auroral substorms and favorable conditions for major aurora activity.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 15% - Minor Storm: 20% - Major Storm: 20%
Active aurora possible with good chance of isolated minor auroral substorms and isolated major aurora substorms possible.
Tourism Industry Association of the Yukon
Wilderness Tourism Association of the Yukon
Aurora Borealis & Northern Lights Tours Yukon
Northern Tales Travel Services Inc.
P.O. Box 31178, Whitehorse, Yukon Canada Y1A 5P7
Phone: 867-667-6054 Fax: 867-667-6055 Email:info@auroraborealisyukon.com

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