Photo: Yukon Aurora Forecast
Nature Tours Yukon Website

Current Aurora Prediction
Current Aurora Prediction Activtiy Level 9
Solar Wind
Velocity:596 km/s
Particle Density:3 protons/cm3
Interplanetary Magnetic Field
Btotal:7 nT
Bz:2 nT North
Current Aurora Prediction
Activity Level:9/10
Confidence:High
Current Weather:na
Updated: Oct 21 2014 644 UTC

Forecast is updated every 15 minutes.
Data is averaged over last 15 minutes.

Current Aurora Forecast

for Canada's North

The solar wind is currently travelling at a respectable velocity of 596 km/s. This provides a pretty good indicator that we can expect to see lights overhead. Additionally, particle density impacting the earth is very high at 3 protons/cm3. These relatively high density numbers will definitely help improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.

The Bz value of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field is current acting in a northward direction at a value of 2 nT which doesn't help the flow of energy particles into our atmosphere. The interplanetary magnetic field can change significantly in a short period of time. A change in direction to a southward or negative value can increase the potential for active aurora by allowing more energy particles to enter our upper atmosphere. In this scenario we can expect to experience aurora sub-storms and will be reflected by a significant jump in the aurora activity level indicated on this page.

Aurora Activity Level 9/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently high. Weather permitting, very nice northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from areas above magnetic 64th.

Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (Oct 21 to Oct 23): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on Oct 22 (21 Oct), quiet to active levels on Oct 23 (22 Oct) and quiet to unsettled levels on Oct 24 (23 Oct). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (21 Oct, 22 Oct, 23 Oct).

3-Day Aurora Forecast
Tuesday (Oct 21)Wednesday (Oct 22)Thursday (Oct 23)
Aurora Forecast - Active: 10% - Minor Storm: 25% - Major Storm: 45%
Active aurora possible with good chance of isolated minor auroral substorms and favorable conditions for major aurora activity.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 15% - Minor Storm: 30% - Major Storm: 40%
Active aurora possible with excellent chance of minor auroral substorms and favorable conditions for major aurora activity.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 15% - Minor Storm: 30% - Major Storm: 40%
Active aurora possible with excellent chance of minor auroral substorms and favorable conditions for major aurora activity.
Tourism Industry Association of the Yukon
Wilderness Tourism Association of the Yukon
Aurora Borealis & Northern Lights Tours Yukon
Northern Tales Travel Services Inc.
P.O. Box 31178, Whitehorse, Yukon Canada Y1A 5P7
Phone: 867-667-6054 Fax: 867-667-6055 Email:info@auroraborealisyukon.com