Current Aurora Forecast
for Canada's North
The solar wind is currently travelling at a respectable velocity of 596 km/s. This provides a pretty good indicator that we can expect to see lights overhead. Additionally, particle density impacting the earth is very high at 3 protons/cm3. These relatively high density numbers will definitely help improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.
The Bz value of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field is current acting in a northward direction at a value of 2 nT which doesn't help the flow of energy particles into our atmosphere. The interplanetary magnetic field can change significantly in a short period of time. A change in direction to a southward or negative value can increase the potential for active aurora by allowing more energy particles to enter our upper atmosphere. In this scenario we can expect to experience aurora sub-storms and will be reflected by a significant jump in the aurora activity level indicated on this page.
Aurora Activity Level 9/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently high. Weather permitting, very nice northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from areas above magnetic 64th.
Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (Oct 21 to Oct 23): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on Oct 22 (21 Oct), quiet to active levels on Oct 23 (22 Oct) and quiet to unsettled levels on Oct 24 (23 Oct). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (21 Oct, 22 Oct, 23 Oct).