Photo: Yukon Aurora Forecast
Nature Tours Yukon Website
Current Aurora Prediction
Current Aurora Prediction Activtiy Level 3
Solar Wind
Velocity:460 km/s
Particle Density:2 protons/cm3
Interplanetary Magnetic Field
Btotal:7 nT
Bz:2 nT North
Current Aurora Prediction
Activity Level:3/10
Confidence:High
Current Weather:na
Updated: Mar 17 2010 345 UTC

Forecast is updated every 15 minutes.
Data is averaged over last 15 minutes.

Current Aurora Forecast

for Whitehorse, Yukon

Forecaster's Comments: The solar wind velocity is currently low at 460 km/s. While this is certainly not the only indicator for a spectacular aurora display it doesn't help to increase our chances. However, particle density impacting the earth is pretty respectable coming in at 2 protons/cm3. These higher density numbers can help improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.

The Bz value of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field is current acting in a northward direction at a value of 2 nT which doesn't help the flow of energy particles into our atmosphere. The interplanetary magnetic field can change significantly in a short period of time. A change in direction to a southward or negative value can increase the potential for active aurora by allowing more energy particles to enter our upper atmosphere. In this scenario we can expect to experience aurora sub-storms and will be reflected by a significant jump in the aurora activity level indicated on this page.

Aurora Activity Level 3/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently moderately low. Weather permitting, northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from Dawson City to Watson Lake and visible toward the northern horizon from Whitehorse.

Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (Mar 17 to Mar 19): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days (17-18 March) due to a coronal hole high-speed stream on Mar 17 and the arrival of partial halo CME arriving on Mar 18. Geomagnetic activity levels are expected to return to quiet levels on Mar 19 (19 March).

3-Day Aurora Forecast
Wednesday (Mar 17)Thursday (Mar 18)Friday (Mar 19)
Aurora Forecast - Active: 25% - Minor Storm: 15% - Major Storm: 05%
Active aurora possible with slight chance of isolated minor auroral substorms and slight chance of isolated major auroral substorms.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 30% - Minor Storm: 15% - Major Storm: 05%
Active aurora probable with slight chance of isolated minor auroral substorms and slight chance of isolated major auroral substorms.
Aurora Forecast - Active: 10% - Minor Storm: 05% - Major Storm: 01%
Active aurora possible with slight chance of isolated minor auroral substorms and slight chance of isolated major auroral substorms.
Tourism Industry Association of the Yukon
Wilderness Tourism Association of the Yukon
Aurora Borealis & Northern Lights Tours Yukon
Northern Tales Travel Services Inc.
P.O. Box 31178, Whitehorse, Yukon Canada Y1A 5P7
Phone: 867-667-6054 Fax: 867-667-6055 Email:info@auroraborealisyukon.com