Current Aurora Forecast
The solar wind velocity is currently low at 322 km/s. While this is certainly not the only indicator for a spectacular aurora display it doesn't help to increase our chances. However, particle density impacting the earth is pretty respectable coming in at 1 protons/cm3. These higher density numbers can help improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.
There is currently a very strong southward pointing Bz value of 4 nT that is cancelling out the protective effects our Earth's magnetic field. The increased southward Bz value forces open a 'door' in our magnetosphere letting energy particles from the solar wind easily penetrate our atmosphere. This is an excellent indicator for the current availability of active aurora.
Aurora Activity Level 6/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently moderate to elevated. Weather permitting, good northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from Dawson City to Watson Lake and Whitehorse.
Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (Feb 11 to Feb 13): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (11 Feb, 13 Feb) and quiet to active levels on Feb 12 (12 Feb).